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PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 28, 2026

England at the 2026 World Cup: Can They Finally Win It?

England take more talent into 2026 than almost anyone. The model rates them a live contender — Tier 2 — but keeps flagging the same thing that's haunted them for a decade: control in the games that matter.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 28, 2026

Soccer Vocabulary You Need Before the 2026 World Cup

Half of following soccer is just knowing what the commentators are saying. Here are the terms you'll hear in the first ten minutes of any World Cup match, in plain English.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 27, 2026

USA's Realistic Chances at the 2026 World Cup

Co-hosts get a real, measurable boost — and we've built it into the model. Here's what the USMNT can realistically expect in 2026 once you remove the hometown optimism and keep the home advantage.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 26, 2026

The Knockout Rounds Explained: Round of 32 to the Final

Once the groups sort themselves out, the World Cup turns into a straight knockout bracket — win or go home. Here's the full path to the final, and exactly what happens when 90 minutes can't separate two teams.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 26, 2026

5 Dark Horse Teams That Could Shock the 2026 World Cup

A dark horse isn't a team you like — it's a team the model rates higher than the price implies. Here are the five biggest model-over-market gaps in the field, with the reason for each.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 25, 2026

Group Stage 2026: How 48 Teams Get Cut Down to 32

The group stage is where 48 teams become 32. Most of it is simple — top two go through — but the eight 'best third-placed' spots are the part that decides nervy final group games. Here's the math.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 24, 2026

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? Data-Driven Tiers

Forget a single ranked list — a 48-team field is better understood in tiers. Here's how the model splits the contenders, the dark horses, and the 'just happy to be here' teams.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 24, 2026

World Cup Rules Explained for Americans (Offside, VAR, Extra Time)

Coming to soccer from American sports? Almost everything maps onto something you already know — except the clock, which works backwards from what you'd expect. Here's the whole rulebook, fast.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 23, 2026

The Offside Rule, Visualised for New Soccer Fans

Offside is the rule that confuses every new fan and a fair few old ones. Forget the jargon — here's the single picture that makes it make sense, and the cases where it doesn't apply at all.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 22, 2026

World Cup 2026 Odds: Live Tracker + Value Bets Analysis

We don't tip bets. We show you the single most useful thing in betting markets: where the price disagrees with a calibrated model. Everything below is analysis, not advice.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 22, 2026

What is VAR in Soccer? Everything You'll See at the 2026 World Cup

The first time play stops and the referee jogs over to a little screen on the sideline, you'll want to know what's happening. Here's VAR — what it is, what it reviews, and why it's not quite instant replay.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 20, 2026

Where to Watch the 2026 World Cup: Complete TV & Streaming Guide

Watching from outside the US, or travelling for the tournament? Here's the official broadcaster in each major market, who carries it for free, and what you'll need to stream.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 20, 2026

World Cup 2026 Predictions: Our Model's Winner (Live Tracker)

One model, one number, updated every week. No hedging, no 'it depends' — here is the team our simulation thinks is most likely to lift the trophy on July 19, and exactly how confident it is.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 19, 2026

How to Watch Every World Cup 2026 Match in the US (Free + Paid)

You do not need an expensive cable package to watch the 2026 World Cup in the US. Here's every match's home, stack-ranked from free to paid, including the Spanish-language options that are often the better watch.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 18, 2026

How the World Cup Works: A First-Timer's Guide to 2026

If your first question is 'wait, how does this whole thing actually work?', start here. We explain the World Cup from scratch using sports you already know.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 17, 2026

World Cup 2026 Group A Predictions: Mexico Walks It

Group A is the tournament's curtain-raiser. Hosts Mexico face South Africa in the opener; on paper the group looks straightforward, but South Korea's xG numbers say the runner-up race is closer than the market thinks.

Explained

ExplainedAlexei AlayoMay 15, 2026

The 2026 World Cup Format Explained for First-Time Viewers

If you're tuning into your first World Cup this June, the new 48-team format will look unfamiliar to anyone who watched Qatar 2022. Here's the structure, the math, and why some people hate it.

Predictions

PredictionsAlexei AlayoMay 15, 2026

World Cup 2026 Predictions: How Our Model Picks Winners

Most 'expert picks' you'll see this month are guesses with a tie. Here's the model that drives every prediction on Football of Nations, what it's good at, and where it's still wrong.

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Global Lens

England at the 2026 World Cup: Can They Finally Win It?

Soccer Vocabulary You Need Before the 2026 World Cup

USA's Realistic Chances at the 2026 World Cup

The Knockout Rounds Explained: Round of 32 to the Final

5 Dark Horse Teams That Could Shock the 2026 World Cup

Group Stage 2026: How 48 Teams Get Cut Down to 32

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? Data-Driven Tiers

World Cup Rules Explained for Americans (Offside, VAR, Extra Time)

The Offside Rule, Visualised for New Soccer Fans

World Cup 2026 Odds: Live Tracker + Value Bets Analysis

What is VAR in Soccer? Everything You'll See at the 2026 World Cup

Where to Watch the 2026 World Cup: Complete TV & Streaming Guide

World Cup 2026 Predictions: Our Model's Winner (Live Tracker)

How to Watch Every World Cup 2026 Match in the US (Free + Paid)

How the World Cup Works: A First-Timer's Guide to 2026

World Cup 2026 Group A Predictions: Mexico Walks It

The 2026 World Cup Format Explained for First-Time Viewers

World Cup 2026 Predictions: How Our Model Picks Winners

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